Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.0% | 76.0% | +6.3 | ✓ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +20 (85-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Haskins | 39 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Mike Titchenal | 33 | 10-18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | - |
| J. Henry | 29 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 7 | - |
| G. Jones | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| L. Finnegan | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| R.J. Socci | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. McGinn | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| P. Johnson | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| N. Enzweiler | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| V. Lisinac | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Abdelsamad | 34 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 5 | - |
| R. Marentez | 31 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| R. Moore | 30 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| T. Juillerat | 25 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| J. Stearns | 24 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| P. Rasmussen | 23 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| R. Ehsan | 15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Carlyle | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Warmerdam | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Butts | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Schwarz | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter