Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.3% | 77.7% | +6.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +14 (81-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucious Wagner | 36 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 3 | - |
| A. Burton | 28 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| B. Strickland | 28 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Webster | 26 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| E. Ottens | 21 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| J. Petty | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Anslinger | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Gore | 14 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| L. Booker | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| F. Calvez | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Phifer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Moore | 36 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 6-8 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 16 | - |
| A. Daanish | 36 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| D. Moss | 35 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 12-14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 18 | - |
| J. Adler | 30 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| E. Gray | 29 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| R. Trudeau | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Yelovich | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Ray | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| E. Booe | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Urban | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter