Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Peay Governors | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.6% | 58.4% | +1.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +11 (81-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.