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Harvard Crimson 53
@
Yale Bulldogs 54
2005-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 45.0% 55.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 43.4% 56.6% - ✓
Margin 28.5% 71.5% +5.1 ✓ (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 40.3% 59.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 40.3% 59.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 40.5% 59.5% - ✓

Actual: Yale Bulldogs +1 (54-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Stehle 35 4-9 0-3 0-0 15 4 1 1 3 8 17 -
K. Rogus 31 2-12 2-10 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 -4 -
D. Giovacchini 31 4-11 1-1 2-2 4 4 0 0 2 11 6 -
B. Cusworth 29 3-8 0-1 6-6 8 0 0 3 2 12 13 -
J. Norman 27 1-3 0-1 1-1 2 1 1 0 1 3 3 -
J. Goffredo 15 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 3 -2 -
M. Beal 15 0-2 0-1 3-4 3 1 1 0 1 3 5 -
G. Beatty 12 3-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 7 4 -
Z. Martin 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Draughan 35 3-10 0-1 7-9 7 5 2 0 2 13 15 -
A. Gamboa 32 3-6 1-2 2-4 4 2 1 0 1 9 9 -
S. Kaplan 24 2-6 0-1 1-2 3 3 0 0 3 5 2 -
D. Martin 24 5-8 0-0 2-3 9 0 1 0 3 12 11 -
E. Flato 24 5-10 3-7 0-0 5 1 1 1 2 13 9 -
D. Upshaw 20 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
N. Holmes 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 1 2 0 0 -
C. Holmes 16 0-4 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Kyle 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter