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2005-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 14.4% 85.6% -
Bradley-Terry 42.8% 57.2% -
Margin 35.5% 64.5% +3.3 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 59.0% 41.0% -
Efficiency 56.7% 43.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.3% 51.7% -
Log Adjusted 48.2% 51.8% -

Actual: Yale Bulldogs +1 (54-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Stehle 35 4-9 0-3 0-0 15 4 1 1 3 8 17 -
K. Rogus 31 2-12 2-10 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 -4 -
D. Giovacchini 31 4-11 1-1 2-2 4 4 0 0 2 11 6 -
B. Cusworth 29 3-8 0-1 6-6 8 0 0 3 2 12 13 -
J. Norman 27 1-3 0-1 1-1 2 1 1 0 1 3 3 -
J. Goffredo 15 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 3 -2 -
M. Beal 15 0-2 0-1 3-4 3 1 1 0 1 3 5 -
G. Beatty 12 3-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 7 4 -
Z. Martin 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Draughan 35 3-10 0-1 7-9 7 5 2 0 2 13 15 -
A. Gamboa 32 3-6 1-2 2-4 4 2 1 0 1 9 9 -
S. Kaplan 24 2-6 0-1 1-2 3 3 0 0 3 5 2 -
D. Martin 24 5-8 0-0 2-3 9 0 1 0 3 12 11 -
E. Flato 24 5-10 3-7 0-0 5 1 1 1 2 13 9 -
D. Upshaw 20 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
N. Holmes 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 1 2 0 0 -
C. Holmes 16 0-4 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Kyle 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter