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2005-02-12

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 6.9% 93.1% -
Bradley-Terry 41.8% 58.2% -
Margin 34.9% 65.1% +3.4 (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 63.7% 36.3% -
Efficiency 92.8% 7.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.6% 22.4% -
Log Adjusted 77.7% 22.3% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -2 (91-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Umeh 42 8-20 2-11 4-4 6 2 2 0 2 22 10 -
L. Amundson 33 2-4 0-0 0-3 7 0 0 1 1 4 7 -
O. Blankson 33 5-15 0-2 13-14 4 2 2 0 1 23 15 -
C. Terry 29 5-11 4-7 3-3 9 2 0 0 0 17 17 -
J. Blassingame 26 3-8 1-4 0-0 1 6 0 0 1 7 5 -
A. Hannan 20 2-5 2-3 0-0 1 0 3 0 1 6 4 -
R. Morgan 19 3-4 2-3 2-4 1 4 2 0 4 10 9 -
J. Anthony 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 4 -
D. Villepigue 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Thomas 40 6-12 0-0 2-3 10 4 0 1 2 14 15 -
N. LeSure 37 5-13 2-7 17-17 5 5 1 0 5 29 22 -
M. Slaughter 36 8-17 0-1 9-10 10 1 1 1 4 25 17 -
T. Smith 31 1-3 1-3 2-2 1 2 1 0 1 5 5 -
B. Hudson 29 3-5 0-0 3-6 7 0 0 1 1 9 11 -
M. Camara 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
J. Sharper 16 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
C. Walton 14 0-1 0-1 0-2 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Manker 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter