Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.9% | 71.1% | +4.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +3 (65-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hudson * | 39 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| B. Bass * | 38 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 8-14 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| D. Mitchell * | 35 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | - |
| G. Davis * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| B. Balla * | 23 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| X. Whipple | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| D. Lazare | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Neltner | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Townes * | 36 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| J. Modica * | 31 | 10-16 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 14 | - |
| C. Thomas * | 30 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Payne * | 26 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| O. Famutimi * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| E. Ferguson | 31 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. Jefferson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Sullivan | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Hill | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter