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2005-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 44.4% 55.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 47.6% 52.4% - โœ—
Margin 36.7% 63.3% +3.0 โœ— (14.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 49.9% 50.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 49.4% 50.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 44.7% 55.3% - โœ—

Actual: Brown Bears -11 (53-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Norman 36 5-10 0-1 2-4 6 2 1 1 1 12 11 -
K. Rogus 33 4-8 4-8 1-1 3 1 0 0 1 13 8 -
M. Stehle 32 7-13 1-2 1-2 12 4 0 1 0 16 20 -
D. Giovacchini 28 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 0 -5 -
B. Cusworth 27 6-11 0-1 4-6 13 1 1 1 5 16 16 -
G. Beatty 13 2-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 2 5 3 -
M. Beal 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 0 -1 -
J. Goffredo 11 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
Z. Martin 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
K. Yada 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Unger 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Darcy 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Lambert 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Forte 36 3-14 2-6 2-4 3 3 3 0 2 10 3 -
D. Huffman 35 4-13 0-5 0-0 7 1 2 0 4 8 1 -
L. Ruscoe 29 4-10 3-7 0-0 8 4 2 0 3 11 12 -
M. Becker 20 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
P.J. Flaherty 20 3-8 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 1 6 0 -
M. McAndrew 15 0-1 0-1 4-6 5 0 2 0 0 4 10 -
M. MacDonald 13 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 4 3 -
A. Coulibaly 11 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 -
K. Jeppesen 8 2-3 0-0 0-1 2 0 2 0 1 4 4 -
E. Nordrum 7 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 -1 -
N. Eads 6 0-1 0-0 2-4 2 1 1 0 0 2 5 -

* = starter