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2005-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Dartmouth Big Green Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 10.7% 89.3% -
Bradley-Terry 16.8% 83.2% -
Margin 10.4% 89.6% +11.8 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.6% 51.4% -
Efficiency 42.3% 57.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.5% 71.5% -
Log Adjusted 28.3% 71.7% -

Actual: Yale Bulldogs +13 (66-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Callahan 30 1-10 0-4 2-3 1 2 2 0 0 4 -1 -
J. Ball 28 3-3 0-0 3-3 2 1 1 1 1 9 10 -
D. Gardner 27 4-7 0-0 3-6 3 0 1 0 1 11 7 -
M. McLaren 26 3-6 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 8 4 -
M. Lang 24 1-6 0-3 3-3 3 3 1 0 3 5 3 -
C. Flynn 18 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 3 4 2 -
P. Bode 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 4 8 -
B. McMillan 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 6 8 -
T. Hammick 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
P. Cuttica 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
M. Liddy 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Draughan 34 3-9 0-1 7-8 3 4 0 0 1 13 10 -
C. Holmes 32 3-7 3-5 2-4 2 1 2 1 2 11 8 -
D. Martin 30 4-6 0-0 3-5 7 0 0 0 1 11 11 -
A. Gamboa 27 1-4 1-3 2-2 1 6 0 0 3 5 5 -
E. Flato 23 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 4 2 -
S. Kaplan 23 5-5 0-0 1-3 2 2 0 1 1 11 10 -
N. Holmes 16 2-2 2-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 6 8 -
D. Upshaw 12 2-3 0-0 1-1 4 0 1 0 1 5 6 -
M. Kyle 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Abromaitis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Greenberg 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter