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Eastern Kentucky Colonels 56
@
Samford Bulldogs 53
2005-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Eastern Kentucky Colonels Samford Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 60.2% 39.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 63.3% 36.7% - ✓
Margin 43.1% 56.9% +1.5 ✗ (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 58.9% 41.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 58.6% 41.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 47.9% 52.1% - ✗

Actual: Samford Bulldogs -3 (53-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Eastern Kentucky Colonels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Ingles 36 5-9 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 12 7 -
M. Haney 35 8-11 0-0 1-1 12 1 0 0 2 17 17 -
M. Witt 32 3-11 1-3 0-0 2 7 3 0 5 7 3 -
A. Hird 29 3-4 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 1 2 7 11 -
B. Rushing 22 2-6 2-5 3-4 0 1 1 0 2 9 3 -
J. McLeish 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
R. Wiersma 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 -
J. Mascoll 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
D. Dialls 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Robert Merritt 39 4-14 2-10 2-2 4 1 2 1 1 12 5 -
J. Smith 39 4-8 2-3 2-4 3 3 0 0 1 12 9 -
J. Mills 31 2-5 1-2 1-3 5 1 3 0 1 6 9 -
B. Boerjan 23 2-5 1-3 0-1 2 4 2 0 2 5 6 -
J. Merritt 20 2-4 0-0 1-1 0 2 0 0 0 5 3 -
R. Woolsey 17 2-2 1-1 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 7 8 -
R. Gulina 16 0-3 0-0 3-4 1 1 1 0 1 3 2 -
Josh Hare 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
C. West 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter