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2005-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Loyola Marymount Lions Spread Result
Elo 38.1% 61.9% -
Bradley-Terry 37.9% 62.1% -
Margin 29.0% 71.0% +4.9 (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 56.9% 43.1% -
Efficiency 17.8% 82.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.6% 32.4% -
Log Adjusted 67.8% 32.2% -

Actual: Loyola Marymount Lions -4 (50-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Cooper 36 3-4 2-3 0-1 5 5 1 1 0 8 16 -
D. Wilson 32 3-6 0-0 0-4 6 2 2 0 1 6 9 -
B. Sullivan 32 5-9 0-2 2-2 8 0 2 1 7 12 7 -
P. Jeter 31 1-6 0-3 5-6 3 2 2 0 5 7 3 -
M. Lewis 28 5-7 0-0 1-3 5 1 0 0 5 11 5 -
J. Dominguez 16 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 3 1 -
A. Gahlmann 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 1 -
K. Aaker 10 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 0 -
D. Vance 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Loyola Marymount Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Wardrop 34 2-11 0-6 3-4 2 1 1 0 2 7 -2 -
M. Knight 33 4-15 0-0 1-3 7 0 2 0 1 9 2 -
B. Worthy 29 3-6 1-2 4-4 0 3 0 0 5 11 3 -
A. Jones 25 1-1 0-0 2-4 2 3 2 0 1 4 9 -
C. Brown 23 2-8 0-4 0-0 2 0 4 0 0 4 2 -
D. Pegram 17 0-5 0-3 2-2 5 1 0 0 3 2 0 -
K. Brooks 13 4-5 0-0 2-3 5 0 3 0 2 10 11 -
J. Haywood 11 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -
J. Ziri 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Ayer 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
V. Boccardo 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter