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2005-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Wichita State Shockers Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 38.2% 61.8% -
Bradley-Terry 60.5% 39.5% -
Margin 62.9% 37.1% -2.9 (11.1 off)
Pythagorean 69.8% 30.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.0% 9.0% -
Log Adjusted 91.1% 8.9% -

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -14 (62-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Howard 33 6-9 0-1 2-3 10 2 1 1 4 14 15 -
R. Burns 29 6-11 3-5 4-4 2 0 1 0 0 19 11 -
K. Wilson 28 4-7 2-3 2-2 5 3 1 1 4 12 11 -
A. Liberty 28 0-0 0-0 2-4 4 5 0 0 1 2 10 -
P. Miller 22 4-8 0-1 2-4 7 2 0 0 1 10 10 -
R. Kampman 22 3-4 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 8 7 -
S. Ogirri 15 3-9 3-7 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 11 1 -
P.J. Couisnard 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
M. Braeuer 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Vince Greene 37 3-10 0-4 5-6 2 4 1 0 1 11 7 -
T. Guidry 35 4-10 0-4 1-2 1 5 1 0 2 9 4 -
Lorenzo Gordon 34 9-18 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 0 4 20 4 -
G. Alexander 31 3-5 3-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 9 9 -
N. Plank 23 1-2 0-1 3-4 5 2 3 0 1 5 12 -
G. Dilligard 23 4-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 8 7 -
R. Carlwell 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
K. Ford 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Ford 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter