Model Predictions
| Model | Wichita State Shockers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.9% | 37.1% | -2.9 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.0% | 9.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -14 (62-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wichita State Shockers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Howard | 33 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 15 | - |
| R. Burns | 29 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | - |
| K. Wilson | 28 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | - |
| A. Liberty | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| P. Miller | 22 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| R. Kampman | 22 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Ogirri | 15 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| P.J. Couisnard | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Braeuer | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vince Greene | 37 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| T. Guidry | 35 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Lorenzo Gordon | 34 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 4 | - |
| G. Alexander | 31 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| N. Plank | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| G. Dilligard | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Ford | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Ford | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter