🐻⬇️🏀

Cal State Northridge Matadors 57
@
Utah State Aggies 77
2005-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Northridge Matadors Utah State Aggies Spread Result
Elo 2.6% 97.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 17.0% 83.0% - ✓
Margin 8.7% 91.3% +12.9 ✓ (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 35.1% 64.9% - ✓
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 3.5% 96.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 3.3% 96.7% - ✓

Actual: Utah State Aggies +20 (77-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Boylan 32 7-13 3-4 2-2 9 2 4 0 2 19 19 -
J. Heard 26 2-4 1-1 1-2 1 1 2 0 2 6 4 -
C. Chitwood 26 2-4 0-0 0-2 5 1 1 0 2 4 5 -
R. Locke 24 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 -2 -
J. Caracciolo 22 4-11 0-0 6-11 5 1 1 1 2 14 9 -
D. White 18 1-5 0-3 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 2 -2 -
T. Shewmake 17 3-7 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 3 6 0 -
A. Washington 11 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 1 2 0 1 2 3 -
G. Okwudibonye 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
K. Cook 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -1 -
D. Smith 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Harris 35 5-6 0-0 2-4 15 1 1 1 6 12 18 -
J. Carroll 33 8-14 4-8 2-2 4 2 1 0 2 22 13 -
D. Pak 31 2-5 0-2 0-1 0 3 2 0 4 4 0 -
S. Nelson 25 7-8 0-0 3-4 6 4 0 0 3 17 16 -
J. Neil 20 2-6 0-1 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 6 4 -
A. Holmes 17 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 3 0 0 0 4 -
C. McGowen 17 4-6 0-0 5-6 3 0 0 2 2 13 10 -
J. Williams 11 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 2 -
M. Crane 9 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 1 2 -
I. McVey 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter