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2005-02-10

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Wake Forest Demon Deacons Spread Result
Elo 44.5% 55.5% -
Bradley-Terry 58.1% 41.9% -
Margin 56.6% 43.4% -1.5 (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 39.9% 60.1% -
Efficiency 30.8% 69.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.4% 77.6% -
Log Adjusted 22.4% 77.6% -

Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons +11 (86-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Atsur * 36 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 6 2 -
I. Evtimov * 31 5-8 4-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 14 8 -
T. Bethel * 23 2-5 1-4 0-0 3 2 2 0 5 5 2 -
C. Simmons * 21 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 4 4 4 3 -
G. Grant * 11 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 0 -3 -
J. Hodge 28 10-13 0-2 7-8 2 2 4 0 3 27 19 -
C. Bennerman 22 3-6 0-3 0-1 3 0 1 1 0 6 5 -
J. Collins 18 4-5 2-2 1-1 5 2 0 0 2 11 11 -
A. Brackman 10 0-3 0-2 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 2 4 -

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Williams * 34 5-10 0-0 5-8 7 0 4 1 2 15 15 -
A. Bethel * 34 3-6 1-1 6-6 4 8 5 0 2 13 22 -
J. Gray * 31 4-14 1-5 9-10 5 1 3 0 3 18 10 -
J. Levy * 28 4-6 0-0 3-4 4 1 0 0 1 11 9 -
V. Danelius * 20 1-3 0-1 3-3 3 0 1 0 2 5 4 -
T. Downey 23 4-5 4-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 14 10 -
T. Strickland 14 1-3 1-2 4-6 4 1 0 0 1 7 8 -
C. Ellis 13 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
K. Visser 3 0-0 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -

* = starter