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2005-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Arizona State Sun Devils UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 32.2% 67.8% -
Bradley-Terry 30.7% 69.3% -
Margin 21.3% 78.7% +7.2 (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% -
Efficiency 19.5% 80.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.4% 38.6% -
Log Adjusted 61.5% 38.5% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +19 (95-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Diogu 37 4-10 2-2 10-11 7 0 0 0 4 20 13 -
K. Kruger 30 2-7 1-4 2-2 5 4 0 0 1 7 8 -
S. Moore 27 10-17 8-11 3-5 2 1 0 0 1 31 16 -
S. Angounou 26 4-6 0-1 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 8 9 -
J. Braxton 24 1-2 0-0 0-2 2 2 4 0 5 2 3 -
B. Krueger 21 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Jackson 14 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 3 0 -3 -
A. Morill 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
T. Pierce 8 2-5 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 0 -
C. Austin 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
W. Fameni 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Thompson 36 13-18 7-9 6-8 6 5 3 0 2 39 33 -
J. Shipp 31 3-5 0-2 2-3 5 4 0 0 1 8 11 -
J. Farmar 31 5-7 3-3 5-6 4 7 4 0 4 18 22 -
A. Afflalo 30 3-7 0-2 2-2 1 3 0 0 0 8 5 -
M. Fey 29 3-5 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 0 0 7 9 -
Brian Morrison 27 5-11 3-5 0-1 2 1 1 1 2 13 5 -
R. Hollins 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 4 2 0 -
L. Mata-Real 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Q. Hawking 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
I. Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. McKinney 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter