Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.6% | 87.4% | +10.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +14 (80-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sommerville | 37 | 8-18 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 11 | - |
| T. Bennett | 32 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| D. Ruffin | 25 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Crouch | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J.J. Tauai | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| M. Rembert | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| P. O'Bryant | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| L. Stemler | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Wright | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Adams | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Shavies | 33 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| T. Chaney | 32 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| T. Maclin | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 16 | - |
| K. Easley | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D. Thompson | 23 | 4-11 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| B. Ahearn | 19 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| N. Bilyeu | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Richards | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| S. Frazier | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter