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2005-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Texas State Bobcats Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 29.4% 70.6% -
Bradley-Terry 27.4% 72.6% -
Margin 17.4% 82.6% +8.6 (8.4 off)
Efficiency 45.1% 54.9% -

Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks +17 (76-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Naylor 37 5-12 3-5 6-6 4 0 0 0 0 19 11 -
A. Dill 27 4-7 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 9 3 -
M. Turner 25 0-2 0-1 0-1 1 0 1 0 3 0 -3 -
R. Adams 23 5-6 0-0 1-3 2 2 1 0 3 11 7 -
C. Stoermer 23 5-8 0-1 4-5 4 0 1 0 2 14 9 -
L. Burroughs 21 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 1 2 3 1 -
B. Brickens 16 1-5 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
A. Oupoh 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 0 1 -
M. Canady 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Langhorne 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Rivers 28 3-8 0-0 0-3 11 2 0 0 2 6 9 -
M. Clark 28 2-4 0-1 2-2 0 6 1 0 0 6 9 -
A. Paez 27 6-11 0-1 3-5 7 0 0 0 4 15 7 -
T. Moore 27 3-4 0-0 2-2 5 3 0 1 0 8 13 -
J. Porter 21 5-12 2-7 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 12 3 -
T. Simon 17 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
L. Brown 16 1-3 1-3 0-1 1 2 0 0 1 3 2 -
K. Brady 13 3-5 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 7 6 -
P. Hannaway 9 1-2 0-1 6-6 2 1 0 0 1 8 8 -
J. Thomas 5 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
S. Weaver 4 1-2 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
J. Cheves 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Gallon 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -

* = starter