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2005-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 21.2% 78.8% -
Bradley-Terry 44.3% 55.7% -
Margin 39.1% 60.9% +2.4 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% -
Efficiency 40.9% 59.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.4% 43.6% -
Log Adjusted 56.5% 43.5% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +3 (72-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Horner * 40 7-19 5-10 0-0 5 4 2 0 0 19 11 -
G. Brunner * 37 12-21 2-5 1-2 7 1 1 1 0 27 16 -
A. Haluska * 35 5-11 1-5 5-7 1 1 0 0 0 16 7 -
M. Henderson * 29 2-2 0-0 0-1 5 2 0 0 3 4 6 -
E. Hansen * 17 0-1 0-0 0-2 4 2 1 2 2 0 6 -
C. Reed 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Thompson 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Thomas 11 1-2 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
S. Gorney 3 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Wilkinson * 38 5-15 0-3 10-12 7 3 1 4 0 20 20 -
A. Tucker * 35 4-6 0-0 5-7 8 1 0 0 4 13 12 -
C. Hanson * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Sharif Chambliss * 31 2-6 2-3 3-6 7 1 0 0 0 9 11 -
A. Helmigk * 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
K. Taylor 32 7-10 3-4 9-10 1 0 0 0 1 26 16 -
R. Nixon 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Flowers 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Chappell 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
G. Stiemsma 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter