Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.5% | 60.5% | +2.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +1 (56-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Battle | 34 | 5-16 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| T. Galloway | 31 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Wilson | 31 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| C. Webb | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Richardson | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| A. Waleskowski | 17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Rich | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Thornton | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| I. Swann | 8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| D. Romero | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.R. Reynolds | 37 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| T. Bannister | 35 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. McLean | 34 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| S. Singletary | 30 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| E. Brown | 28 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| G. Forbes | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Cain | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Minter | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Soroye | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter