Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | +4.8 | ✓ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +21 (90-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Douglas | 37 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| N. Watson | 36 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| I. Young | 35 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Q. Brown | 33 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| F. Tolbert | 23 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Hayles | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Derozan | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Edun | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Daniel | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Gaines | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Balla | 33 | 6-10 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 16 | - |
| A. Hudson | 32 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 32 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| B. Bass | 30 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| G. Davis | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| X. Whipple | 19 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Lazare | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| R. Neltner | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| P. Wolfert | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter