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2005-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Georgia Bulldogs Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 50.9% 49.1% -
Bradley-Terry 34.7% 65.3% -
Margin 23.9% 76.1% +6.4 (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 15.5% 84.5% -
Efficiency 1.6% 98.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.9% 93.1% -
Log Adjusted 6.8% 93.2% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +15 (62-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Georgia Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Brophy * 40 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 0 -5 -
C. Toney * 38 9-16 3-8 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 21 6 -
S. Gaines * 32 6-13 0-1 0-0 5 4 2 1 1 12 10 -
S. Newman * 28 2-7 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 5 -3 -
D. Bliss * 20 1-5 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 0 3 3 2 -
Y. Idrissi 26 3-4 0-0 0-2 3 0 3 0 0 6 8 -
J. McAuley 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Gibbs 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
J. Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Payne * 35 5-9 0-0 5-5 6 2 2 0 1 15 15 -
D. Townes * 30 7-13 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 1 1 17 8 -
J. Modica * 30 7-12 0-2 0-1 4 2 0 0 0 14 8 -
E. Ferguson * 25 1-4 1-2 2-2 0 4 5 0 3 5 7 -
O. Famutimi * 17 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -5 -
D. Jefferson 20 2-2 0-0 1-2 4 2 1 0 2 5 8 -
R. Sullivan 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 0 2 -
C. Thomas 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
S. Hill 12 2-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 6 7 -

* = starter