Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.4% | 74.6% | +5.9 | ✗ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines -6 (51-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Williams * | 40 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| L. Head * | 39 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| D. Brown * | 38 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| J. Augustine * | 36 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| R. Powell * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Ingram | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nick Smith | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. McBride | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Harris * | 38 | 7-17 | 3-7 | 4-8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| R. Coleman * | 31 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Harrell * | 31 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Hunter * | 29 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| G. Brown * | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| C. Sims | 25 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| A. Bell | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Petway | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Andrews | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter