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2005-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 53.8% 46.2% -
Bradley-Terry 31.2% 68.8% -
Margin 25.5% 74.5% +5.9 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -
Efficiency 47.7% 52.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.7% 61.3% -
Log Adjusted 38.6% 61.4% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +3 (69-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Walsh * 36 6-11 2-5 4-6 4 2 1 0 2 18 12 -
A. Roberson * 35 9-18 5-13 0-0 0 3 1 1 2 23 8 -
D. Lee * 32 3-7 0-0 3-4 7 1 0 0 3 9 7 -
C. Brewer * 26 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 1 1 6 5 -
A. Horford * 22 0-2 0-0 1-3 5 1 1 0 4 1 2 -
C. Richard 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
T. Green 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -4 -
J. Noah 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 3 1 4 7 -
L. Humphrey 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 4 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Kennedy * 36 7-11 2-3 2-3 3 1 0 1 1 18 11 -
C. Hayes * 31 4-7 0-0 3-4 9 2 1 1 1 11 16 -
R. Rondo * 30 3-11 0-1 8-10 7 4 3 0 4 14 13 -
P. Sparks * 26 1-6 0-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -6 -
R. Morris * 20 4-6 0-0 3-3 2 1 0 0 0 11 8 -
S. Thomas 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
R. Moss 15 2-2 1-1 2-4 3 2 1 0 1 7 10 -
B. Perry 9 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
R. Bradley 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 0 -1 -
J. Crawford 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Adetula 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter