Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.6% | 45.4% | -1.0 | ✗ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +8 (66-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hall | 37 | 8-12 | 4-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 16 | - |
| J. Balderson | 33 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 3 | - |
| A. Ainge | 29 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Young | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| D. Dawes | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| C. Miles | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - |
| J. Jensen | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Rose | 13 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| S. Burgess | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Nashif | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Slaughter | 40 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 11 | - |
| N. LeSure | 34 | 3-12 | 0-6 | 7-8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| T. Smith | 25 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| B. Hudson | 24 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| M. Thomas | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J. Sharper | 24 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Camara | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Manker | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter