Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.6% | 58.4% | +1.9 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +13 (60-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Strickland * | 37 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -2 | - |
| R. Vaden * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
| A.J. Ratliff * | 25 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Hardy * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D.J. White | 32 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| D. Perry | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Ewing Jr. | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Wilmont | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| R. Tapak | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Kline | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Williams * | 38 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | - |
| D. Brown * | 33 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| R. Powell * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| L. Head * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| J. Augustine * | 25 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| R. McBride | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nick Smith | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Ingram | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| W. Carter | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Pruitt | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| F. Nkemdi | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter