Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | +0.3 | ✗ (21.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -21 (60-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Roche * | 36 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| S. May * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| R. McCants * | 28 | 5-18 | 1-7 | 5-8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| J. Manuel * | 26 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| E. Arriaran * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| M. Williams | 29 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| M. Scott | 14 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| D. Noel | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Sanders | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| W. Miller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Terry | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C.J. Hooker | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Battle * | 35 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| T. Galloway * | 34 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Richardson * | 23 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| A. Wilson * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Webb * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| A. Waleskowski | 20 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Rich | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Romero | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| A. Thornton | 7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| I. Swann | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| R. Mims | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter