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2005-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons Wyoming Cowboys Spread Result
Elo 9.3% 90.7% -
Bradley-Terry 25.2% 74.8% -
Margin 17.5% 82.5% +8.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 60.8% 39.2% -
Efficiency 55.5% 44.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.3% 34.7% -
Log Adjusted 65.5% 34.5% -

Actual: Wyoming Cowboys +4 (67-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Welch 43 3-8 2-4 2-3 2 2 4 1 2 10 9 -
D. Nwaelele 41 3-8 1-5 6-6 7 3 2 0 4 13 13 -
A. Hood 40 4-10 1-3 3-5 2 1 1 0 3 12 3 -
T. Keller 37 3-7 3-7 0-0 3 2 0 2 1 9 8 -
J. Burtschi 33 5-9 2-6 1-2 2 1 3 0 0 13 10 -
M. McCraw 15 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 3 0 -
C. Buchanan 9 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 3 -1 -
M. Holum 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Anderson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wyoming Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Straight 45 6-16 1-3 5-7 5 4 1 0 4 18 8 -
A. Dunn 41 4-6 0-0 1-2 9 0 1 0 2 9 11 -
J. Webb 32 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 2 1 -
J. Williams 30 5-6 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 3 4 10 10 -
D. Sherrell 23 3-9 2-5 3-4 0 1 2 0 1 11 4 -
S. Leven 22 2-5 1-2 5-6 4 2 1 0 4 10 8 -
D. Wabbington 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 4 3 -
K. Lewis 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
J. Ebert 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter