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2005-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Loyola Marymount Lions San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 18.4% 81.6% -
Bradley-Terry 89.8% 10.2% -
Margin 100.0% 0.0% -44.5 (43.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -
Efficiency 19.9% 80.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.4% 70.6% -
Log Adjusted 29.6% 70.4% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons -1 (49-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Loyola Marymount Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Wardrop 35 2-11 0-6 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 4 -2 -
M. Knight 30 4-11 0-0 4-5 5 1 0 0 0 12 7 -
A. Jones 29 3-5 0-0 0-0 7 2 4 1 4 6 11 -
B. Worthy 28 3-6 0-0 2-3 6 3 2 0 5 8 8 -
C. Brown 19 1-6 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -4 -
D. Pegram 19 2-6 1-2 1-2 6 1 1 0 3 6 5 -
K. Brooks 14 2-3 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 4 5 -
J. Haywood 10 1-3 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
J. Ziri 9 1-4 1-4 2-4 2 0 2 0 0 5 5 -
C. Ayer 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Cox 37 5-15 1-5 4-4 2 0 1 0 2 15 1 -
T. Riley 37 6-17 2-5 4-6 20 0 1 0 1 18 21 -
J. Gumbs 31 2-8 0-2 0-0 5 1 3 0 4 4 1 -
N. Pierce 27 3-3 0-0 0-1 4 0 2 0 3 6 6 -
Andre Hazel 23 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 6 1 0 6 3 5 -
J. Gaines 15 0-1 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 2 3 1 -
A. Wiggins Jr. 13 0-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
D. Ingerson 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Dukes 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter