Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.6% | 51.4% | +0.3 | ✓ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +19 (79-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Schraeder | 35 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| J. Gloger | 28 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Fitzgerald | 27 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 3 | - |
| D. Fells | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| N. Campbell | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Metelski | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| G. Ethington | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Armstrong | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Baker | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| P. Sanders | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Bruckner | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Boylan | 32 | 8-12 | 3-3 | 6-9 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 21 | - |
| R. Locke | 31 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| C. Chitwood | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Heard | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| D. White | 22 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| J. Caracciolo | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| K. Cook | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Shewmake | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| G. Okwudibonye | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Smith | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Washington | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter