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2005-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Southern Illinois Salukis Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 31.4% 68.6% -
Bradley-Terry 29.1% 70.9% -
Margin 20.6% 79.4% +7.4 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 61.2% 38.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.9% 17.1% -
Log Adjusted 82.8% 17.2% -

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +6 (67-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darren Brooks 36 5-17 2-6 2-2 6 5 3 0 2 14 9 -
T. Young 29 3-7 2-5 1-2 0 3 1 0 1 9 5 -
S. Hairston 28 4-8 3-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 13 8 -
J. Tatum 26 1-10 1-6 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 3 -3 -
Josh Warren 25 2-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 3 4 2 -
M. Shaw 23 5-8 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 10 4 -
R. Falker 19 1-3 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 1 1 4 8 -
L. Owen 14 2-4 0-0 0-1 2 0 3 0 0 4 5 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Stout 35 3-9 0-0 3-4 11 2 0 3 2 9 14 -
B. Jacobson 33 5-9 3-4 5-7 3 4 2 0 3 18 15 -
E. Crawford 33 7-13 2-3 0-0 8 3 0 1 2 16 13 -
E. Coleman 24 0-6 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 0 1 1 2 -
B. McKowen 20 2-4 0-0 2-2 1 2 2 0 1 6 6 -
Chris Foster 19 1-4 0-3 3-4 4 2 0 0 5 5 2 -
J. Godfread 19 4-7 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 0 8 9 -
J. Little 17 1-3 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

* = starter