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2005-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Nicholls Colonels UL Monroe Warhawks Spread Result
Elo 31.0% 69.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 34.2% 65.8% - โœ“
Margin 22.5% 77.5% +6.8 โœ“ (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.5% 56.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 37.2% 62.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 37.4% 62.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.9% 63.1% - โœ“

Actual: UL Monroe Warhawks +5 (72-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nicholls Colonels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Djoukeng 34 2-5 0-2 5-7 4 2 0 0 5 9 5 -
W. Depron 31 3-10 1-5 6-9 7 5 2 0 2 13 15 -
S. King 29 4-7 1-2 0-0 5 0 1 1 3 9 6 -
J. Wilkins 25 4-7 4-7 2-2 5 1 0 1 0 14 14 -
B. Searles 22 2-6 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
A. Gray 21 1-8 0-1 4-6 7 0 1 0 1 6 5 -
A. Westmoreland 16 1-3 0-1 1-1 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
Dominique Geason 12 3-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 7 5 -
L. Smith 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

UL Monroe Warhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mason 33 5-10 0-1 2-3 3 2 1 1 0 12 9 -
N. Smith 29 3-5 0-0 0-0 8 1 2 1 3 6 10 -
C. Hood 29 4-9 1-3 4-6 2 0 4 0 1 13 9 -
A. Branch 27 5-10 3-8 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 13 5 -
A. Harper 24 3-7 1-1 1-2 8 2 0 0 1 8 10 -
J. Turpin 20 0-4 0-2 0-1 3 6 0 1 0 0 6 -
G. Robinson 16 4-8 1-1 0-3 5 1 0 2 0 9 9 -
T. Helton 11 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
R. Jacobs 9 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 4 2 -
D. Bynum 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter