Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.1% | 50.9% | +0.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -11 (64-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Davis * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| S. Brown * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| A. Anderson * | 22 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| C. Hill * | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Ager * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| K. Torbert | 27 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| D. Neitzel | 25 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Tim Bograkos | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Naymick | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Rowley | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Trannon | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Horner * | 38 | 2-12 | 1-7 | 8-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| A. Haluska * | 35 | 7-16 | 1-7 | 9-11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 16 | - |
| M. Henderson * | 33 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Brunner * | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| E. Hansen * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Thomas | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - |
| C. Reed | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Thompson | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Gorney | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter