Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +7 (69-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ruffin | 36 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| M. Sommerville | 35 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 16 | - |
| T. Bennett | 29 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Crouch | 25 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J.J. Tauai | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| P. O'Bryant | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| B. Heemskerk | 12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| L. Wright | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -5 | - |
| M. Rembert | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Adams | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vince Greene | 38 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 14 | - |
| T. Guidry | 36 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 7-9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 13 | - |
| G. Alexander | 34 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Lorenzo Gordon | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| G. Dilligard | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| N. Plank | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Ford | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| N. Onyeuku | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter