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2005-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Santa Clara Broncos Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 12.7% 87.3% -
Bradley-Terry 9.0% 91.0% -
Margin 3.2% 96.8% +18.7 (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 38.0% 62.0% -
Efficiency 23.3% 76.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.1% 83.9% -
Log Adjusted 15.9% 84.1% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +17 (92-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Bailey * 35 6-13 3-7 10-11 4 4 2 1 1 25 22 -
D. Perkins * 28 2-12 1-4 5-6 3 1 1 0 3 10 0 -
S. Denison * 24 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 0 2 4 5 -
M. Henke * 23 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 3 2 -
S. Borchart * 18 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 4 6 -
T. Niesen 27 5-12 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 1 1 12 6 -
E. Rohde 16 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 6 3 -
B. Angley 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 2 2 -
J. Legge 9 2-2 0-0 1-1 3 1 0 0 1 5 6 -
S. Dougherty 3 1-1 1-1 1-4 1 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
M. Neal 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Raivio * 35 4-6 4-6 7-8 1 10 1 0 2 19 23 -
A. Morrison * 32 7-13 4-5 4-7 6 1 0 1 2 22 15 -
J.P. Batista * 30 7-12 1-1 4-7 15 2 2 0 3 19 23 -
R. Turiaf * 28 6-15 0-0 10-14 8 0 0 2 1 22 16 -
E. Knight * 23 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 0 5 -
D. Pendergraft 17 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 4 -1 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes 14 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 4 5 -
S. Mallon 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
C. Floyd 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
B. Michaelson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. MacLeod 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
V. Neal 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter