Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.2% | 79.8% | +7.6 | ✗ (21.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins -14 (65-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.