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2005-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 62.7% 37.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 51.3% 48.7% - โœ“
Margin 38.5% 61.5% +2.6 โœ— (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 52.7% 47.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 52.8% 47.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.4% 54.6% - โœ—

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -4 (72-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Korver 33 2-7 0-4 4-5 3 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
N. Works 32 4-10 0-0 5-6 10 0 0 1 4 13 10 -
L. Randolph 30 6-12 0-2 5-6 4 3 2 0 0 17 14 -
C. Brooks 27 5-6 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 2 11 10 -
P. Eggers 24 3-7 0-1 1-2 5 1 3 1 2 7 8 -
S. Tracy 20 0-2 0-1 4-4 6 2 2 0 2 4 10 -
N. Grant 17 0-7 0-1 0-0 6 1 3 0 2 0 1 -
C. Bryant 17 2-6 2-5 4-6 2 0 1 0 0 10 7 -
D. Bancroft 10 2-4 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 0 6 4 -
B. Heemskerk 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
J. Powell 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
L. Houston 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lucious Wagner 41 5-11 4-9 0-2 3 9 0 0 2 14 13 -
K. Anslinger 41 4-10 4-7 0-1 5 2 0 0 3 12 6 -
M. Webster 37 5-11 2-4 1-1 5 4 0 0 4 13 7 -
B. Strickland 32 8-10 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 3 2 18 17 -
A. Burton 30 2-9 1-3 1-4 2 3 1 1 1 6 3 -
D. Gore 16 3-5 3-5 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 9 8 -
C. Phifer 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 0 3 -
J. Petty 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
L. Booker 4 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
E. Ottens 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter