Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | +4.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +8 (67-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Brown | 36 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | - |
| R. Epps | 36 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Howell | 35 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| L. Posey | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| I. Smith | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| S. Floyd | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R. Richmond | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. Griffin | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Neukomm | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Guidry | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Naylor | 33 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 9 | - |
| B. Brickens | 32 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| C. Langhorne | 29 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Osborn | 27 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Z. Allison | 27 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 9-13 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 23 | - |
| L. Burroughs | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. White | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Canady | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| R. Adams | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
* = starter