Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | +4.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +8 (67-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.