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2005-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 28.9% 71.1% -
Bradley-Terry 71.2% 28.8% -
Margin 71.1% 28.9% -5.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 55.2% 44.8% -
Efficiency 94.6% 5.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.2% 15.8% -
Log Adjusted 84.3% 15.7% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores -14 (70-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Hayes * 36 7-15 1-1 0-1 13 3 2 1 0 15 19 -
M. Kennedy * 33 5-10 2-5 3-4 5 0 1 0 1 15 10 -
R. Rondo * 30 4-6 1-1 3-7 4 8 2 0 0 12 20 -
P. Sparks * 27 6-14 2-6 1-2 2 2 4 0 2 15 7 -
R. Morris * 12 3-7 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 8 1 -
B. Perry 22 1-4 0-1 5-6 1 0 0 1 1 7 4 -
R. Bradley 15 3-5 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 7 3 -
R. Moss 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
S. Thomas 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Crawford 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Smith * 35 7-12 2-6 0-0 12 2 0 0 3 16 15 -
J. Holwerda * 31 3-4 0-0 1-2 4 5 1 1 2 7 12 -
T. Skuchas * 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 3 4 2 -
A. Gordon * 14 0-5 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 0 -6 -
S. Foster * 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
D. Przybyszewski 30 3-6 2-4 4-5 2 0 0 2 2 12 8 -
M. Moore 28 5-11 4-9 1-3 4 6 1 0 3 15 12 -
D. Carroll 19 4-6 0-0 4-6 7 2 0 0 0 12 15 -
D. Cage 8 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Terrell 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 2 2 -

* = starter