Model Predictions
| Model | Oregon Ducks | Oregon State Beavers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.4% | 48.6% | -0.3 | ✗ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oregon State Beavers +4 (76-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hairston * | 35 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 14 | - |
| A. Brooks * | 33 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| J. Kent * | 33 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| B. Taylor * | 26 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -1 | - |
| M. Platt * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| I. Crosswhite | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Lincoln | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Oguchi | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Leunen | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R. Schafer | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Lucas * | 37 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| N. Dewitz * | 36 | 9-17 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| C. Stephens * | 24 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| L. Hurd * | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| K. Jeffers * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J.S. Nash | 26 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| S. Cuic | 20 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| J. Fontenet | 16 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| H. Brown | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| A. Weathers | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter