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2005-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 58.3% 41.7% -
Bradley-Terry 34.6% 65.4% -
Margin 28.1% 71.9% +5.2 (20.8 off)
Pythagorean 34.1% 65.9% -
Efficiency 21.1% 78.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.7% 84.3% -
Log Adjusted 15.6% 84.4% -

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +26 (72-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harris * 37 4-11 1-5 0-1 4 3 1 1 4 9 3 -
R. Coleman * 30 2-6 0-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 4 6 -2 -
S. Harrell * 20 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
G. Brown * 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 2 1 -
C. Hunter * 17 1-4 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 1 2 4 3 -
C. Sims 23 6-9 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 2 4 15 8 -
J. Andrews 15 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
B. Petway 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 3 0 0 2 4 -
D. Wohl 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
A. Bell 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 2 0 -
J.C. Mathis 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 0 -3 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Dials * 34 8-15 0-0 3-6 9 0 1 0 1 19 13 -
J. Foster * 29 4-9 3-7 0-0 1 4 3 0 0 11 10 -
J. Butler * 29 0-4 0-4 2-2 1 3 1 0 1 2 2 -
J.J. Sullinger * 19 4-6 1-2 0-0 5 1 3 0 3 9 9 -
I. Harris * 12 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 3 5 -
M. Sylvester 27 3-7 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 1 3 7 2 -
Tony Stockman 23 7-14 2-6 0-0 2 2 3 0 1 16 8 -
B. Fuss-Cheatham 19 0-3 0-1 1-2 4 2 2 0 1 1 5 -
Matt Marinchick 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Terwilliger 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
J. Jackson-Wilson 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter