Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | +2.3 | ✗ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -2 (62-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Singletary * | 37 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| M. McLean * | 36 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| J. Cain * | 34 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| E. Brown * | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| T. Bannister | 38 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| J.R. Reynolds | 32 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6 | - |
| G. Forbes | 18 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| T. Soroye | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Atsur * | 39 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| T. Bethel * | 37 | 6-10 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| J. Hodge * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| I. Evtimov * | 24 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| A. Brackman * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Simmons | 30 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| G. Grant | 24 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Collins | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter