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Princeton Tigers 57
@
Harvard Crimson 61
2005-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 46.0% 54.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 48.8% 51.2% - ✓
Margin 47.4% 52.6% +0.6 ✓ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% - ✓
Efficiency 29.3% 70.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 70.0% 30.0% - ✗
Log Adjusted 70.3% 29.7% - ✗

Actual: Harvard Crimson +4 (61-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Greenman 37 4-6 4-5 0-3 0 2 2 0 0 12 10 -
W. Venable 33 1-3 0-0 5-6 0 6 1 0 3 7 8 -
J. Wallace 30 9-15 3-7 2-2 3 1 1 1 2 23 12 -
M. Schafer 29 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 5 6 -
Andre Logan 26 3-6 1-4 0-2 4 0 0 1 0 7 6 -
N. Savage 22 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 3 3 -
M. Stephens 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
L. Owings 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
M. Sargeant 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Rogus 35 6-14 5-12 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 17 5 -
B. Cusworth 32 3-5 0-0 4-6 10 1 2 1 3 10 16 -
M. Stehle 32 2-4 0-0 5-6 4 2 2 0 3 9 10 -
D. Giovacchini 31 2-6 0-0 1-3 4 6 0 0 3 5 6 -
J. Norman 31 1-2 0-1 2-4 2 0 2 0 1 4 5 -
J. Goffredo 13 2-5 1-3 5-6 0 1 0 0 1 10 5 -
M. Beal 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
Z. Martin 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
G. Beatty 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter