Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Florida Gators | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.3% | 77.7% | +6.9 | ✓ (24.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida Gators +31 (85-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Davis * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| R. Steele * | 34 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Roberson * | 33 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -4 | - |
| J. Davidson * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| E. Shelton * | 27 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| J. Felix | 16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Jonus | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Weber | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Brock | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Taylor | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Williams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jason Reese | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Roberson * | 33 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| M. Walsh * | 32 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| D. Lee * | 26 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| A. Horford * | 26 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 24 | - |
| C. Brewer * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| L. Humphrey | 20 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| C. Richard | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| T. Green | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Noah | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Ingram | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter