Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.7% | 53.3% | +0.7 | ✗ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -8 (47-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Granger | 34 | 3-14 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| D. Chiotti | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| T. DeVries | 25 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Hart | 22 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| M. Walters | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Wall | 21 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| A. Neale | 19 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| B. Osby | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| T. Danridge | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Phaler | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Harden | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Morris | 35 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Nelson | 35 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| S. Morris | 34 | 5-14 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| P. Thomasson | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Rakiecki | 19 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Patterson | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Verwers | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Creason | 15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| N. Ball | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter