Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.7% | 51.3% | +0.3 | ✓ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +14 (90-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Power | 37 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 12 | - |
| O. Harper | 33 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| L. Roberts | 32 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 4-9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| G. Ervin | 28 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Edmondson | 24 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| D. Slater | 20 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 3-7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| W. Sharpe | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Campbell | 5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Boler | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Douglas | 40 | 7-12 | 3-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| F. Tolbert | 39 | 10-14 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 19 | - |
| Q. Brown | 36 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| N. Watson | 30 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 15 | - |
| I. Young | 27 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Hayles | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Derozan | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter