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2005-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Colgate Raiders Lehigh Mountain Hawks Spread Result
Elo 27.0% 73.0% +7.2 โœ“ (2.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 40.6% 59.4% - โœ“
Margin 27.6% 72.4% +5.3 โœ“ (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 37.9% 62.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 35.6% 64.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 35.6% 64.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.5% 60.5% - โœ“

Actual: Lehigh Mountain Hawks +10 (63-53). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Zidar 33 4-10 1-4 1-2 5 1 0 0 5 10 1 -
A. Reed 33 4-14 3-5 0-0 2 4 0 1 1 11 3 -
Kyle Roemer 28 0-9 0-5 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 0 -4 -
Jon Simon 28 3-8 1-4 0-0 4 4 0 0 2 7 5 -
Alex Woodhouse 27 3-8 0-0 0-0 9 0 2 2 2 6 9 -
Keith Williams 21 3-3 1-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 7 10 -
J. Foss 14 3-4 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 8 6 -
Todd Checovich 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
N. Beresford 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Tim Pounds 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Peter Minchella 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Lehigh Mountain Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
U. Nwaigwe 35 6-14 3-9 6-7 3 3 1 0 2 21 12 -
Joe Knight 32 4-10 1-3 3-4 4 6 1 0 1 12 12 -
Nick Monserez 31 3-9 2-4 3-4 8 1 0 1 1 11 11 -
J. Mgebroff 28 3-11 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
Earl Nurse 28 0-3 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 1 3 2 3 -
James Anderson 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Michael Fischman 11 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
M. Gilfillan 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 3 5 -
Bryan White 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
Kyle Neptune 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 -

* = starter