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2005-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Southeast Missouri State Redhawks UT Martin Skyhawks Spread Result
Elo 68.2% 31.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 71.9% 28.1% - โœ“
Margin 82.3% 17.7% -8.5 โœ“ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 77.6% 22.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 89.4% 10.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 89.5% 10.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 68.7% 31.3% - โœ“

Actual: UT Martin Skyhawks -7 (68-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Gonner 38 11-18 2-5 3-3 4 3 5 0 2 27 19 -
Derek Winans 33 4-6 2-2 1-2 2 4 1 2 1 11 13 -
C. Sykes 31 5-13 0-0 5-8 10 3 1 4 4 15 16 -
T. Willoughby 31 5-8 3-6 4-4 0 4 1 0 0 17 14 -
P. Paradoski 24 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 0 3 -
Mike Nelke 17 1-3 1-3 2-3 3 0 2 0 0 5 7 -
R. Belcher 15 0-4 0-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 -2 -
W. Francis 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

UT Martin Skyhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Carter 36 2-6 0-1 0-2 2 1 0 1 2 4 0 -
J. Newson 33 5-13 0-0 9-12 13 0 1 0 1 19 19 -
Justin Smith 31 4-11 2-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 10 0 -
C. Woodfork 25 7-11 0-0 7-8 7 1 2 0 2 21 18 -
A. Ferrell 19 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 2 -1 -
T. George 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 0 0 -
J. Thompson 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 3 4 6 -
M. Ford 12 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 0 3 1 3 -
W. Lewis 11 2-4 0-0 3-5 2 0 1 0 0 7 6 -
J. Flatt 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter