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2005-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Idaho Vandals UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Spread Result
Elo 22.8% 77.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.3% 70.7% - โœ“
Margin 24.9% 75.1% +6.1 โœ“ (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 32.4% 67.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 32.3% 67.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.2% 61.8% - โœ“

Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +14 (54-40). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Idaho Vandals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Shepard 35 3-8 1-4 0-2 1 4 0 0 5 7 -1 -
A. Lyons 34 2-7 0-0 1-2 10 1 0 0 1 5 8 -
L. Davis 31 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 2 0 0 4 -
D. Jones 29 6-14 1-3 2-2 4 0 4 0 2 15 7 -
A. Kahrimanovic 27 2-6 1-4 1-2 0 0 0 0 2 6 -2 -
T. Johnson 14 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 1 -
D. Higdon 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
M. Anderson 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Kale 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Bowden-Key 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Oliver 33 7-10 2-4 1-2 2 2 3 0 3 17 11 -
C. Goettsche 32 6-9 0-0 1-3 9 0 1 0 2 13 12 -
A. Harris 29 2-5 1-2 3-3 4 1 4 0 2 8 10 -
G. Turner 28 0-2 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 1 3 -
J. Davis 25 2-7 0-2 2-2 5 2 1 0 2 6 5 -
J. See 22 2-6 1-4 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 7 3 -
D. Wheeler 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
D. Kennedy 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
C. Moore 5 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Chambers 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter