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2005-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Pepperdine Waves San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 8.6% 91.4% -
Bradley-Terry 87.6% 12.4% -
Margin 100.0% 0.0% -43.6 (26.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.6% 48.4% -
Efficiency 39.2% 60.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.7% 50.3% -
Log Adjusted 50.0% 50.0% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons -17 (68-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Acker 37 7-11 1-2 1-2 4 3 0 0 2 16 10 -
Y. Diawara 31 8-19 1-2 5-8 11 0 1 1 3 22 13 -
M. Lea 28 2-5 0-1 2-4 2 2 0 0 1 6 4 -
G. McGowan 26 5-10 0-1 4-4 9 1 1 0 1 14 14 -
K. Costain 23 5-8 3-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 13 7 -
C. Roush 22 3-6 0-0 2-5 7 1 3 0 2 8 11 -
R. Hicks 21 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 2 0 6 7 -
C. Griffin 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 2 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Cox 40 9-20 4-11 2-3 1 4 2 0 3 24 8 -
J. Gumbs 39 2-9 0-3 0-0 9 4 4 0 2 4 10 -
T. Riley 36 6-15 3-9 3-4 9 2 1 1 2 18 14 -
J. Gaines 23 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 2 -
A. Wiggins Jr. 21 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 2 6 6 -
D. Ingerson 15 3-6 3-4 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 9 5 -
N. Pierce 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
J. Dukes 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
Andre Hazel 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -2 -
F. Czerny 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Bell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Barnes 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter