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2005-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Santa Clara Broncos Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 85.1% 14.9% -
Bradley-Terry 58.6% 41.4% -
Margin 56.7% 43.3% -1.5 (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% -
Efficiency 94.3% 5.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.0% 39.0% -
Log Adjusted 60.8% 39.2% -

Actual: Portland Pilots +13 (75-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Bailey 36 5-17 1-7 2-3 4 2 2 1 3 13 2 -
D. Perkins 30 7-14 5-9 9-10 3 5 4 1 4 28 23 -
S. Denison 23 2-4 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 0 1 7 9 -
E. Rohde 23 1-6 1-6 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 3 2 -
B. Angley 20 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 -
M. Henke 18 2-5 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 4 4 -
J. Legge 16 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
T. Niesen 15 1-7 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -5 -
S. Borchart 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 2 3 -
S. Dougherty 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
M. Neal 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Cooper 33 2-7 1-3 8-8 6 3 1 0 4 13 12 -
B. Sullivan 33 7-14 0-0 5-8 5 3 1 1 1 19 14 -
P. Jeter 33 3-7 1-2 7-8 3 4 4 0 2 14 16 -
D. Wilson 25 4-7 0-1 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 10 8 -
M. Lewis 22 4-9 0-0 4-5 6 0 1 1 2 12 9 -
K. Aaker 16 0-2 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
A. Gahlmann 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 1 -
J. Dominguez 14 1-5 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 3 0 -
D. Vance 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 -

* = starter